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The Moore Inflation Predictor forecasts the inflation rate one year into the future with 97% accuracy.
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Beat Inflation: Save $1000/year on Credit Card interest | |
What is the Moore Inflation Predictor©?The Moore Inflation Predictor© (MIP) is a highly accurate graphical representation forecasting the future direction of the inflation rate. It has a 97%+ accuracy rate on forecasting inflation rate direction & turning points. And over 90% of the time the inflation rate falls within the projected "likely" range and 7% of the time it falls within the "possible" range. By watching the turning points, we can profit from inflation hedges (like Gold, Real Estate and Energy Producers) when the inflation rate is trending up and from Bonds when the inflation rate is trending down. In addition, the Moore Inflation Predictor forecast could be used to judge whether to lock in a mortgage rate or wait a month or two for a better rate. To see how well the MIP has done in predicting inflation see some previous MIP forecasts with a reality line added. Current AnalysisAs you long time watchers of the Moore Inflation Predictor can see... this month we've changed the chart a bit. We made the most likely line more obvious and the projected range lighter. Hopefully, this will give you a better feel for what is in store. As you can see in this month's chart, March was virtually identical to February. The MIP is currently projecting a drop for the next several months because the first quarter of 2007 had some fairly hefty numbers which will be falling out of the calculations shortly. February 07 had .54% inflation which was replaced by a much more moderate .29% for February 08. March 07 however had a massive .91% but it was replaced by an almost as massive .87% while April and May are virtually identical with .65% and .61% respectively. So as they fall out of the calculations, inflation could decline if they are replaced by more moderate numbers. However, April is like March (which is possible) we could actually see an increase at the next CPI release. Note: FED chairman Bernanke's massive increases in the money supply almost guarantee massive inflation over the longer term. See FED Bails Out Borrowers for more information. See Annual Inflation Chart for further discussion on this inflation forecast. Tim McMahon, Editor Disclaimer: At Financial Trend Forecaster we are not registered investment advisors and do not provide any individualized advice. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance and future accuracy and profitable results cannot be guaranteed. |
 (click on chart for larger image) Don't miss next month's MIP Inflation Forecast! Yes, Notify Me when the new inflation forecast chart comes out!
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